Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.507179 1.710499 1.933291 2.195890 2.497397 2.833271 3.236516
2025-11-30 1.249858 1.528028 1.858082 2.280039 2.807269 3.447012 4.286248
2025-12-07 1.054023 1.368889 1.767562 2.312642 3.043555 3.996846 5.345887
2025-12-14 0.890683 1.216372 1.651745 2.281685 3.178723 4.423548 6.305057
2025-12-21 0.755486 1.076738 1.526523 2.209789 3.234793 4.736401 7.141763
2025-12-28 0.695923 1.031745 1.522543 2.302799 3.532075 5.427801 8.637835
2026-01-04 0.641970 0.985995 1.508560 2.374228 3.800323 6.105614 10.214836
2026-01-11 0.592234 0.939218 1.485090 2.424070 4.035793 6.757273 11.846435
2026-01-18 0.546237 0.892042 1.453855 2.454426 4.238578 7.376343 13.514244
2026-01-25 0.493486 0.827267 1.385398 2.410983 4.303854 7.758295 14.799976
2026-02-01 0.437145 0.750068 1.286926 2.301418 4.232732 7.877133 15.589603
2026-02-08 0.398157 0.698862 1.227877 2.255410 4.272262 8.206260 16.848318
2026-02-15 0.362359 0.651058 1.172274 2.213886 4.324394 8.586040 18.322486
2026-02-22 0.348726 0.642504 1.187903 2.311968 4.669679 9.614110 21.408900
2026-03-01 0.328859 0.620057 1.174751 2.351067 4.899003 10.434737 24.187367
2026-03-08 0.303368 0.584039 1.131261 2.322201 4.978576 10.939998 26.315008
2026-03-15 0.276131 0.541800 1.070893 2.250069 4.952172 11.200631 27.886474
2026-03-22 0.268051 0.537410 1.086971 2.345446 5.319889 12.439500 32.233204
2026-03-29 0.258367 0.528646 1.092839 2.418551 5.645777 13.630070 36.706871
2026-04-05 0.247464 0.516165 1.089332 2.469512 5.925256 14.749993 41.228511
2026-04-12 0.235808 0.500880 1.078023 2.500533 6.159327 15.790732 45.751803
2026-04-19 0.219519 0.473816 1.037619 2.456231 6.193276 16.301043 48.778954
2026-04-26 0.199970 0.437663 0.973010 2.344459 6.033519 16.251552 50.033868